November 11, 2002 NOTICE OF REVISION OF THE BUSINESS RESULTS FORECAST FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDED SEPTEMBER 30, 2002 AND FOR THE FISCAL YEAR ENDING MARCH 31, 2003 AND LOSS ON DEVALUATION OF SECURITIES AS OF THE END OF THE SIX MONTHS ENDED SEPTEMBER 30, 2002 1. Revision of business results forecast: In view of the current trends in operating results, the Company revised the business result forecasts for the six months ended September 30, 2002 and for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2003 on a non-consolidated basis and a consolidated basis, which were announced on May 20, 2002 and May 31, 2002, respectively, and they are hereby amended as follows: (1) Revision of non-consolidated business results forecast for the six months ended September 30, 2002 (Billions of Yen)   Net premiums written *1 Ordinary profit Net income Previous forecast (A) (636.9 ) 630.5   23.0   10.0   Revised forecast (B) (626.7 ) 619.6   45.0   30.0   Increase or decrease (B)-(A) (- 10.2 ) - 10.9   22.0   20.0   Percentage of increase or decrease (- 1.6 %) - 1.7 % 95.7 % 200.0 % (Reference) Results of the corresponding six months of the previous fiscal year (from April 1, 2001 to September 30, 2001) Results for the corresponding six months of the previous fiscal year *2 (609.5 ) 615.6   26.2   13.8   *1 The figures presented in upper parenthesis in the column "Net premiums written" represents the amount after deducting the refundable premium of the Company's original automobile insurance "Modo-Rich", which contains a special clause of premium adjustment and refunded at maturity, and is provided for the purpose of comparison with other companies. The same shall apply hereinafter. *2 The results of the previous fiscal year represent accumulated figures of the former The Sumitomo Marine & Fire Insurance Co., Ltd. and the former Mitsui Marine and Fire Insurance Co., Ltd. before merger. The same shall apply hereinafter. (Principal reasons for the Revision)   Ordinary profit and net income have been revised upward due mainly to the fact that (1) Losses incurred for natural disasters were largely lower than the initial forecasts.   (2) With respect to losses other than natural disasters, losses incurred for automobile insurance and marine insurance, etc. were lower than the initial forecasts. (2) Revision of consolidated business results forecast for the six months ended September 30, 2002 (Billions of Yen)   Ordinary Income Ordinary profit Net income Previous forecast (A) 940.0   25.0   10.5   Revised forecast (B) 950.0   44.0   29.0   Increase or decrease (B)-(A) 10.0   19.0   18.5   Percentage of increase or decrease 1.1 % 76.0 % 176.2 % (Reference) Results of the corresponding six months of the previous fiscal year (from April 1, 2001 to September 30, 2001) Results for the corresponding six months of the previous fiscal year 944.2   25.8   8.7   (Principal reasons for the Revision) As a consequence of the revision of the non-consolidated business results, consolidated business results forecasts have been also revised. (3) Revision of non-consolidated business results forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2003 (Billions of Yen)   Net premiums written Ordinary profit Net income Previous forecast (A) (1,266.0 ) 1,252.4   63.0   30.0   Revised forecast (B) (1,256.0 ) 1,242.0   66.0   32.0   Increase or decrease (B)-(A) (- 10.0 ) - 10.4   3.0   2.0   Percentage of increase or decrease (- 0.8 %) - 0.8 % 4.8 % 6.7 % (Reference) Results of the previous fiscal year (from April 1, 2001 to March 31, 2002) Results for the previous fiscal year (1,175.6 ) 1,187.2   62.6   23.6   (Principal reasons for the Revision)   As a consequence of the above-mentioned upward revision of the non-consolidated business results for the six months ended September 30, 2002, ordinary profit and net income for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2003 have been also revised upward. However, it is expected that increases in non-consolidated ordinary profit and net income for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2003 will be limited to ¥3.0 billon and ¥2.0 billion, respectively. This is attributable to the estimates for the latter six months ending March 31, 2003 as set forth below: (1) Losses incurred will increase due to natural disaster caused by the typhoon No. 21, etc. and the occurrence of large insurance accidents.   (2) Investment income will be lower than the initial forecasts due to worsening investment circumstances resulting from the appreciation of the Yen and lowered stock prices, among others. (4) Revision of consolidated business results forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2003 (Billions of Yen)   Ordinary Income Ordinary profit Net income Previous forecast (A) 1,980.0   66.0   31.0   Revised forecast (B) 1,980.0   69.0   33.0   Increase or decrease (B)-(A) -   3.0   2.0   Percentage of increase or decrease -   4.5 % 6.5 % (Reference) Results of the previous fiscal year (from April 1, 2001 to March 31, 2002) Results for the previous fiscal year 1,901.2   62.5   18.9   (Principal reasons for the Revision) As a consequence of the revision of the non-consolidated business results, consolidated business results forecasts have been also revised. Note: The foregoing are forward-looking statements based on a number of assumptions and beliefs in light of the information currently available to management and subject to significant risks and uncertainties. Actual financial results may differ materially depending on a number of factors including, adverse economic conditions, currency exchange rate fluctuations, adverse legislative and regulatory developments, delays in new product launches, pricing and insurance product initiatives of competitors, the inability of the Company or its subsidiaries or affiliates to market existing and new insurance products effectively, infringements of the Company's intellectual property rights of the Company or its subsidiaries or affiliates and the adverse outcome of material litigation. 2. Loss on devaluation of securities at the end of the six months ended September 30, 2002 Loss on devaluation of securities as of September 30, 2002 is as follows: (Billions of Yen) (A) Total amount of loss on devaluation of securities as of September 30, 2002 9.9   (B) Net asset as of March 31, 2002 (A/B 100) 1,262.5   (0.8 %) (C) Ordinary profit as of March 31, 2002 (A/C 100) 62.6   (15.8 %) (D) Net income as of March 31, 2002 (A/D 100) 23.6   (42.0 %) The Company evaluates securities and money trusts, held for purposes other than trading, at fair value, at cost or at amortized cost. Impairment losses are recognized in case of investments having experienced a significant decline in fair values or net asset book values below their respective costs that are considered other than temporary. Net unrealized gains on securities are as follows: (Billions of Yen)   Fiscal year ended March 31, 2002 Fiscal year ending March 31, 2003 As of Sep. 30, 2001 As of Mar. 31, 2002 As of Sep. 30, 2002 Securities, etc. 888.9   1,060.9   844.3   (Stock) 749.3   907.3   690.6   (Note) The above table represents net unrealized gains on available-for-sale securities of which fair values are available. End